According to a recent Google-translated Korean article about the planned fab, or factory, Nanox plans to make only 2,000 x-ray tubes a month.
The investment is about 40 million dollars... Nanox plans to produce about 2,000 semiconductor chips and tubes per month for digital X-rays at [the planned Korean] factory. (google translated)
Something must be wrong with the translation by Google. Making only 2,000 tubes a month means that the cost can never get to $100 a piece, a cost that would be competitive with regular Chinese tubes of equivalent power/performance.
from Slide 15, January 2020 investor presentation |
Here is the simple math: Recouping just the capital investment at a $100 cost would require making 400,000 non-defective tubes, which would take over 16 years (given the supposed plan for 24,000 tubes a year ). So, a $100 Nanox tube would not be possible with this fab, if the translated article is correct.
In an interview in September 2020, the CEO told a different story about that same planned fab:
We are shooting for quite a large capacity because we think that Nanox eventually will be in many, many devices, so we are planning for about 1,000 wafers per month (about 5:30 into the video).
Nanox wafers, annual report, page 66 |
But what is Nanox going to do with over one million non-defective chips a year (or over three million by end of 2024)? All the planned 15,000 Nanox.Arc devices by end of 2024 need only 75,000 to 165,000 tubes in total (depending on whether 5 or 11 tubes per proposed device). There are only about "500,000 plus" x-ray imaging systems in the world (page 11, Varex filing)
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